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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29402

Ravenna VS Gubbio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.70%
Draw
28.20%
Away
33.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5649
Log loss
0.9493

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
6e9388b64c81802a2f8ffcdaf52eb4dc055182922032e3f910af63f45454dcc1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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