Frozen pre-match forecast · #2934
Villarrubia VS Villarrobledo
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 16 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 19 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 34.10%
- Draw
- 35.06%
- Away
- 30.84%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.7175
- Log loss
- 1.1764
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 16 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
- SHA-256
- 23b88fc662caed8c7c24ce5fda3c00c94184e2e2a4f0a949e0e9782f2fd7561c
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.