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Frozen pre-match forecast · #293

Clachnacuddin VS Ross County

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 02:02 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.49%
Draw
33.23%
Away
38.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.5725
Log loss
0.9602

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 02:02 UTC
SHA-256
be1cb5d1d9f31f71df078f9937de191ceafa4cff6b9588bdc8a5ddd9ef95f089

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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