Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #29299

Rubin Kazan 2 VS Izhevsk

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.40%
Draw
38.36%
Away
24.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5978
Log loss
0.9836

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
SHA-256
f451b6b2ae1fe949ea1b98d5f9c7f68dc788cb2592d1e10ba4c486ba609fa0c9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →