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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29290

L'Escala VS Martinenc

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.04%
Draw
36.01%
Away
28.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6355
Log loss
1.0488

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
SHA-256
dae5e6e0d907d4901c8e44fa02319e1711a6f4d8ae15c00d4d1e068cd7f5c87e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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