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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29093

Orleans VS Cannes

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.43%
Draw
37.76%
Away
36.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5875
Log loss
0.9739

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
2fee0e65ba439e95a977b3a4cd5855e8ab0781afe36361420d576fec236e8c80

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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