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Frozen pre-match forecast · #29020

Barcelona B VS Peña Sport

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.72%
Draw
26.27%
Away
23.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3648
Log loss
0.6788

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
8a8017487dd0bcf4a8352136e2182b4fda3e00ca090dc46707e2e793b154e310

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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