Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #28824

Letohrad VS Kosmonosy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.16%
Draw
19.39%
Away
53.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3281
Log loss
0.6264

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:32 UTC
SHA-256
52226e8e8165f3cc522b95306d920a188b70820b75c2796dc03dcb6d260b69d9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →