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Frozen pre-match forecast · #288

Bromley VS Brentford U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 02:02 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
13.27%
Draw
26.81%
Away
59.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2501
Log loss
0.5122

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 02:02 UTC
SHA-256
075faa1aacb0913134afba157cf06a1bfb996f10e7af36d79e8b6b63ca769f7d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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