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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28780

Hanwell Town VS Enfield Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.80%
Draw
20.91%
Away
23.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.9435
Log loss
1.4571

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
SHA-256
3cae2d91e120b83014a2fa57ab593557b8ff4c7010a20a7a2297f144df675d49

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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