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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28776

Guisborough Town VS Redcar Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.76%
Draw
23.14%
Away
23.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9339
Log loss
1.4653

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:31 UTC
SHA-256
a5d720df7f7440771fb4d3e16e196e624af32523a9ad31e311f832d93b5d8e91

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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