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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28707

Unionistas II VS Turégano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.83%
Draw
22.25%
Away
20.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9712
Log loss
1.5028

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
SHA-256
5b4ae41872b2a23cc9980e45e01128f8b5ae1b75a5b1a02c7a1dcd02ea4bc622

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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