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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28659

Csepel VS Szeged-Csanád II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.42%
Draw
19.87%
Away
29.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9846
Log loss
1.6160

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
SHA-256
0f5779f598ca7aeaa5f3a8c63c917d476a16ef1366fe678a82eeb3652c7b0404

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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