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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28658

Tatabánya VS 1908 SZAC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.52%
Draw
45.48%
Away
10.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5246
Log loss
0.8092

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:29 UTC
SHA-256
93214e7441623dac44fa1838285fa8a80ce171f51cb63843f14a9c4aec12d400

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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