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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28637

Clachnacuddin VS Celtic II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.11%
Draw
17.83%
Away
33.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0257
Log loss
1.7244

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
SHA-256
079d398637b8bd5fc92003fa6beff084fda81ef80e7499a471c2b4d07dfd7431

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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