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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28635

Annan Athletic VS Hibernian U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.18%
Draw
17.82%
Away
8.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1048
Log loss
0.2987

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:28 UTC
SHA-256
c72b54f9d515a8734dfec5ae7e9f417926782d3bb5ef79cd6bb2ba7ce0a00011

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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