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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28565

Zürich II VS Grand-Saconnex

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.01%
Draw
21.45%
Away
43.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4874
Log loss
0.8315

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:27 UTC
SHA-256
66fb4932ad3388497d7a931a11098d1293ccec0f2a9c6556184d37ef8f90a453

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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