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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28542

Wycombe VS Reading

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.27%
Draw
34.20%
Away
32.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6495
Log loss
1.0729

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
cb81805a9b9b0d2c1d73fceb405fa9a798e08990aea1812326f7bb7d331f4dce

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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