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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28525

Neratovice-Byškovice VS Čáslav

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.77%
Draw
21.38%
Away
32.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7061
Log loss
1.1132

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
e195a58b94a3f56d341ab13d3ce142d214af48fec886d76329b79e566b3bb590

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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