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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28506

Skövde AIK VS Olympic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.43%
Draw
20.52%
Away
23.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2851
Log loss
0.5722

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
6c90095b54cea4f7ef239c9a1a793ad0e733321ca2930e4052a8c209bbb9132f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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