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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28483

Rudar Kakanj VS Posušje

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.07%
Draw
22.01%
Away
52.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9511
Log loss
1.5137

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
ea642c2dcc2630e1fad72ba4dc6f71ea5d53ec57fb74d1d20df731cf83142f59

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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