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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28473

Bahlinger SC VS Normannia Gmünd

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.24%
Draw
45.20%
Away
10.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5264
Log loss
0.8155

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
f686a5794cc0e9ab93f66f5150f44c838b507a794b0878bc1adf96d4fe9d10be

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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