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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28339

Viking II VS Våg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.27%
Draw
17.14%
Away
27.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8592
Log loss
1.2877

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
657d4dd9b72d800aa2b321a6bb46fd435ad49b6d7e79ae36229a6a2609d70f0f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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