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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28215

Lysekloster VS Sandviken

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.99%
Draw
21.87%
Away
45.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4576
Log loss
0.7954

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
88f437635e0d64f5544bbf53e9f5a56d7b69cde0efc6b3cf222f2d48347d118f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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