Frozen pre-match forecast · #28178
Göteborg W VS Elfsborg W
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 22 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 41.49%
- Draw
- 19.11%
- Away
- 39.41%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.9817
- Log loss
- 1.6551
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 22 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
- SHA-256
- 45e511f65ac4aebcc1a6663d48b56ce7899f3a2bd7843123e2df9e7b068b7b11
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.