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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28177

Skedsmo VS Ulfstind

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.32%
Draw
15.88%
Away
15.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1505
Log loss
0.3810

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
02b76af2596dc3dcaa7da682269f61de1ed66d417b07c52c5151e6c4610d8a15

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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