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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28174

Konnerud VS KFUM II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.97%
Draw
16.31%
Away
31.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7629
Log loss
1.1482

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
da2663ccb0081e50f070a6f7290efd85d0703bd58e68eabed7a1d7eddba74fb0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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