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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28130

Ústí nad Labem II VS Újezd Praha 4

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.11%
Draw
18.23%
Away
63.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1067
Log loss
1.7021

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
cf977bed09d9d4df7573bdbcb25fc88b1a3445029a5fbe958aec0ec04cb3fd74

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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