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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28100

FC Ryukyu VS Ehime FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.55%
Draw
17.44%
Away
35.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0303
Log loss
1.7464

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
b9bce678f120f0419856de299dc3086171f623052a0b3a628191628f92ddb445

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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