Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #28021

Cobh Ramblers VS Athlone Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.59%
Draw
25.52%
Away
32.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8359
Log loss
1.3657

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
490f0ffa197a6ad5cbdb400405424c934d439fc0b77408642016ed61b32e164d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →