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Frozen pre-match forecast · #28006

Inter de Minas VS Nacional AC MG

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.20%
Draw
25.27%
Away
36.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6127
Log loss
1.0072

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
8d9f96627bd0ea8530a13f91b0d8ba7ab9c324c0611f88cd211ea62cb5fabad0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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