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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27904

Uljanik VS Slavonija Požega

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.33%
Draw
42.29%
Away
16.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5307
Log loss
0.8606

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
0a9579c2f186d58c05b802e4af6e4a845b484ad8eeb746edb8f726c15b56f073

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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