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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27891

Karviná II VS Líšeň II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.11%
Draw
22.24%
Away
51.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9396
Log loss
1.5033

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
c3f26bdf1d562c63880f19060173642a177625a3da6e98c744bbb8835864d01e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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