Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #2776

Komárno VS Slovan Bratislava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.35%
Draw
27.50%
Away
49.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3887
Log loss
0.7103

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
b0ca05d9777df39a1ff786269b4e8bb9d4572b20872d81e4395dc031bfd3d58d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →