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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27711

Brøndby W VS Sporting CP W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.64%
Draw
20.13%
Away
28.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3541
Log loss
0.6609

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
629cb08d420d72185a7cac63706ceea2e6cbfc2af447cd55b02e031f5ca04b65

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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