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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27596

Rushall Olympic VS Kettering Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.07%
Draw
23.95%
Away
38.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6054
Log loss
0.9925

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
53b4d297c24cd4daeb0cce529a249a7fa8cf52da2af31b54f0e7cfdb0b597dd7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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