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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27585

Gala Fairydean Rovers VS Spartans

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.27%
Draw
15.14%
Away
65.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.1875
Log loss
1.8878

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
e6bf68576aa7d5b6dad969d51b2881ee6c2b8f0091589b4c9cfdda474ce72258

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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