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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27580

Edinburgh City VS Dundee United II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.00%
Draw
16.53%
Away
8.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0970
Log loss
0.2877

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
04f3e056fe442c3e03ff7c76d873f39d07c0a82199fb1d81e00de0c2d1aaa737

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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