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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27572

Banks O' Dee VS Aberdeen U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.65%
Draw
21.05%
Away
40.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5830
Log loss
0.9505

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
b2ebe9e94199900408ad8eff6f13627449152d9fe8d037e3b26f71f3c4c024d8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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