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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27570

Bromley VS Brentford U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.31%
Draw
24.72%
Away
29.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7568
Log loss
1.2050

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
f427e20c3a3c4f59ff548b7e8e06caca5bfda54a5b8d9fd54bdd6b5b2ce16604

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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