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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27556

Eemdijk VS Roosendaal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.93%
Draw
22.57%
Away
46.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7442
Log loss
1.1734

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
a52c7ef215b7a14e0ddac61bf482cb67b6a6a942b73b40efefeae03cc45c35f5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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