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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27496

Cetate Deva VS Unirea Sântana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.82%
Draw
17.20%
Away
31.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7505
Log loss
1.1401

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
41a2747afaf3233a3ec2b47588c3946efd30b84bd5f1e72fe19aedb6f47d8e4d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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