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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27486

Pucioasa VS Flacăra Moreni

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.54%
Draw
21.55%
Away
55.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2916
Log loss
0.5814

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
aa0f4fe3c110cf8729b31ca763aee63c0174232ee58fd0a4e636412ef952b8a9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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