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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27467

RTC VS Tsirang

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.83%
Draw
17.10%
Away
22.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2314
Log loss
0.4971

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
ee07c63d346a52a4431295fcc7edd1b12123889301da9298cc260302c3134ce5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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