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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27399

Chelyabinsk VS Enisey

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.36%
Draw
29.65%
Away
31.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7444
Log loss
1.2157

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
22 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
66f164cec4c95fd39a2b3eb00afccf7212d6086cc6c87f827dbc7316dd64bb42

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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