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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27359

12 de Junio VH VS SOL DE America

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.03%
Draw
25.99%
Away
38.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8224
Log loss
1.3475

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
SHA-256
6aee1d82c34023e896c32c7a3f47aefca1f987ab8c2b7054bed5d3da79852dce

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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