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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27337

Fana VS Åsane II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.39%
Draw
17.34%
Away
15.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1597
Log loss
0.3947

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
SHA-256
8dd174fee909a505fd0f706ec8ba5d01f827a235c535ffadf7dc5cf34111a445

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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