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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27155

Tudelano VS Barcelona B

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:16 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.48%
Draw
34.25%
Away
33.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6680
Log loss
1.1003

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:16 UTC
SHA-256
363681840a1a5bcefef69d4c7d35cac917f86a4e1e28f1a2677c38392ae8bd7b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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