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Frozen pre-match forecast · #27115

Inter Lagos VS Katsina United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 12:15 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.87%
Draw
22.42%
Away
25.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9370
Log loss
1.4952

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
21 Sep 2026 · 12:15 UTC
SHA-256
fdd9c09974cde566dc73a1d027ca7df850b4e44dae729f029de0f7efc1664c4d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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