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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2710

Hades VS Rotselaar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.71%
Draw
28.09%
Away
22.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3811
Log loss
0.6990

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
SHA-256
d7b853a82ea3713bea1dab1f25165e2ca087a29f709bd757a967f71f05e51cc3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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